Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 10.234364 11.324824 12.495016 13.846232 15.366032 17.025516 18.978630
2025-09-28 8.425637 9.907736 11.611542 13.723699 16.283607 19.300536 23.147036
2025-10-05 7.427558 9.195372 11.350578 14.192082 17.870358 22.512402 28.879766
2025-10-12 6.653900 8.607572 11.112711 14.597850 19.379843 25.797253 35.207685
2025-10-19 5.936579 7.972532 10.698638 14.672160 20.410524 28.544472 41.214539
2025-10-26 5.301721 7.353972 10.207167 14.539678 21.087256 30.835803 46.879767
2025-11-02 4.765621 6.801517 9.727806 14.336949 21.594256 32.895265 52.464753
2025-11-09 4.308751 6.308007 9.268723 14.089026 21.968252 34.755468 57.974042
2025-11-16 3.938670 5.902187 8.890899 13.908310 22.401516 36.732799 63.958461
2025-11-23 3.642022 5.577482 8.600098 13.823159 22.962824 38.971160 70.742983
2025-11-30 3.465454 5.423117 8.559865 14.140065 24.238905 42.615239 80.774404
2025-12-07 3.227760 5.146631 8.290533 14.027512 24.722474 44.854245 88.389977
2025-12-14 2.976132 4.830965 7.935482 13.741025 24.879276 46.550843 95.329713
2025-12-21 2.779726 4.592464 7.691323 13.629397 25.354922 48.944695 104.253132
2025-12-28 2.692017 4.533967 7.756420 14.099429 27.031022 54.037333 120.342150
2026-01-04 2.600958 4.461043 7.787405 14.505029 28.627439 59.208241 137.757459
2026-01-11 2.472584 4.309605 7.659229 14.580288 29.536922 63.002390 152.582268
2026-01-18 2.329599 4.119676 7.441593 14.449513 29.980215 65.793802 165.406660
2026-01-25 2.190955 3.927211 7.202624 14.248601 30.239546 68.186473 177.686782
2026-02-01 2.059173 3.738076 6.954601 14.002610 30.363527 70.266058 189.562729
2026-02-08 1.945573 3.575939 6.747167 13.823255 30.620833 72.721170 203.150239
2026-02-15 1.850759 3.443920 6.589972 13.738747 31.095281 75.815250 219.491486
2026-02-22 1.801915 3.399785 6.609228 14.053479 32.595598 81.903774 247.111461